Space

Apophis: a close visitor in 2029

Once a source of concern, this asteroid is now a rare opportunity for close study. How will Earth’s gravity reshape its motion?

Artist’s concept of OSIRIS-APEX passing Earth on its way to Apophis. This image does not show Apophis’s actual shape. NASA / Goddard / University of Arizona.
Artist’s concept of OSIRIS-APEX passing Earth on its way to Apophis. This image does not show Apophis’s actual shape. NASA / Goddard / University of Arizona.

A several-hundred-meter asteroid passing Earth sounds dramatic, but the key phrase for Apophis in 2029 is safe close approach. Passing about 32,000 km above the surface, it offers a rare chance to study gravity’s effects on a small body.

Why was it worrying at first?

After discovery in 2004, limited observations left a wide range of possible orbits, some intersecting Earth. More observations, especially radar, narrowed the uncertainty. NASA has ruled out impacts for at least the next hundred years. The asteroid did not change its mind; our knowledge improved.

Radar observations of Apophis used to measure position and motion, not ordinary photographs of its shape. NASA / JPL-Caltech / NSF / AUI / GBO
Radar observations of Apophis used to measure position and motion, not ordinary photographs of its shape. NASA / JPL-Caltech / NSF / AUI / GBO

Will Earth knead the asteroid?

Gravity differs slightly between the near and far sides, producing tides. Earth will alter the trajectory and may disturb rotation or loose surface material. Landslides or other changes are possibilities to test, not events already observed.

Bennu samples returned before the spacecraft began its OSIRIS-APEX extension to Apophis; these are not Apophis samples. NASA
Bennu samples returned before the spacecraft began its OSIRIS-APEX extension to Apophis; these are not Apophis samples. NASA

A sampling veteran continues

After returning Bennu material, OSIRIS-REx became OSIRIS-APEX. It aims to study Apophis after the encounter, examining shape, spin, and surface response. The extension focuses on observations, not another sample return.

Will everyone see it?

Visibility depends on location, time, weather, and light pollution. Possible naked-eye visibility does not mean simultaneous worldwide visibility. The encounter can turn a once-worrying name into a real world with a structure and history.

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